Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 96329.417133 101544.296095 106754.853954 112348.264851 118179.147928 124074.834767 130483.057851
2025-09-14 88073.745065 96078.209640 104295.676803 113351.751946 123041.125771 133086.442195 144277.185487
2025-09-21 81617.111889 91495.042882 101855.464813 113510.413782 126234.245546 139681.063025 154943.924780
2025-09-28 76620.790208 87889.258462 99922.406228 113692.542555 128977.437120 145386.392075 164296.363399
2025-10-05 73633.985192 86149.761532 99722.377014 115482.001565 133222.764719 152520.956660 175044.187117
2025-10-12 70941.420345 84496.070844 99400.678622 116933.942026 136919.583823 158914.749923 184873.529568
2025-10-19 68200.648216 82592.960806 98623.546984 117709.283285 139715.289797 164192.932632 193375.440043
2025-10-26 65402.148169 80459.201849 97434.927177 117875.040774 141696.142067 168455.880575 200659.257850
2025-11-02 63061.231094 78732.215455 96601.762156 118345.043200 143937.248762 172949.794346 208165.857728
2025-11-09 60664.495036 76824.213976 95453.136815 118349.044162 145553.447837 176661.364817 214728.927865
2025-11-16 59121.323117 75859.510362 95350.150720 119526.690784 148501.420578 181895.274487 223062.420150
2025-11-23 57016.815049 74126.629961 94250.805415 119442.624985 149892.880642 185260.573411 229177.993381
2025-11-30 55851.995250 73517.202612 94491.498009 120973.491040 153239.133769 190986.649494 238174.959263
2025-12-07 54487.897277 72608.713257 94325.806683 121978.390353 155934.944792 195942.247483 246284.488408
2025-12-14 52785.778669 71213.962455 93506.944107 122133.197893 157559.889495 199592.430990 252826.747154
2025-12-21 51205.024900 69914.946477 92754.945139 122323.510769 159191.381079 203228.537588 259348.360222
2025-12-28 50535.655402 69747.210287 93390.655431 124222.493583 162922.141106 209423.118163 269008.146049
2026-01-04 49743.067190 69386.980229 93756.762925 125763.464126 166200.582936 215072.585711 278030.926955
2026-01-11 48668.478152 68621.687494 93575.875766 126586.310597 168565.099777 219596.159481 285686.819829
2026-01-18 47360.859241 67508.720539 92912.780025 126762.216098 170091.419659 223071.563745 292052.353984
2026-01-25 46258.215790 66631.868287 92522.883474 127260.998999 172007.429532 227024.669984 299020.732621
2026-02-01 44996.597243 65504.814043 91773.759351 127265.244490 173270.255784 230149.319585 304957.875482
2026-02-08 44313.023604 65133.546215 91994.454710 128514.914591 176122.605093 235277.226898 313431.274387